A year after Copenhagen – Some Changes

24 12 2010

A very distinct change has occurred over the past year in how the average person sees the climate debate.

Even in my work, which is for a government environmental agency, only a few die hards still try to push the official line. Most just don’t want to talk about it.

Those outside of work, with very few exceptions (usually progressive ideologues), say they don’t believe a word of the official line and see climate as a natural process.

With this change in the popular perception of climate, I cannot see how western governments can continue for much longer on their current campaign of throwing ever larger amounts of money at a problem that most see as a waste of money.

In the US even prominent Democrats are balking (such as West Virginia’s Senators) at the EPA’s heavy handed regulatory approach to CO2.

I suspect we will see a reversal of course beginning in the new year. This will be accompanied by wails from the green left, but with the American people (and even labor left) turning away, the wails will be muted.

I don’t think it is time yet to put down our guard, but the momentum appears to have genuinely shifted. It is time to start becoming more optimistic.

Damn shame though that our economy has been so damaged by this madness.

Copenhagen and Climategate

12 12 2009

Amazing how a little leak can swamp such a big boat. The warmistas are bailing like madmen. The will likely keep from sinking, but the boat will float so well again.

Given the rise in volume and shrillness we have seen from the warmistas over the past six months I am absolutely stunned by how the leak of emails and data from the CRU has turned the whole debate over AGW on its head.

I am not for a minute convinced it will stop the IPCC train, but at least most folks will now see it for what it is – a massive power grab by the watermelons (green on the outside, red at the core).

I still hope for some degree of sanity to become apparent, but this might still take time as the sheer weight of bureaucracy that is behind the IPCC is enormous. Intertia, while normally thought of as a physical property of matter, is relevant to bureaucarcies as well.

The anchor chain of the Copenhagen agreement (what ever it might be) plus the EPA finding, as well as any Cap n’ Trade initiated by congress, will take a while to affect the economy. As it does, and if cooling continues, it will become increasingly difficult for the politicians to ignore the weakness of the AGW argument. Even if cooling stops, the economic fall out will cause many politicians to call for a loosening (if not abolition) of the economic knots to bring back economic growth. The green jobs will eventually be seen for what they are – a smokescreen.

Pessimistic? Yes. Perhaps too much so, but time will tell.

A year of Blog Neglect

19 06 2009

Its been 13 months since I posted here on climate. In that year the alarmists have doubled down on their rhetoric and demostrated their take over of the major scientific societies and thier pre-eminence in government, academia and media.

Meanwhile the planet has continued to cool and CO2 increases at the same rate it has over the last several decades. The major ice loss in the arctic has recovered and global sea ice extent is back where it was in the 1970’s.

A new administration has vowed to follow science in formulating government policy, but so far that extends only to following alarmist pseudoscience.

In some ways I kind of hope that the adminstration does follow the advice of James Hansen , Al Gore and the IPCC. I say this because I believe that in doing so it will expose the insanity of the AGW religion for what it is – a huge global Piltdown Man scandal. But then I wake up and stop daydreaming because following this anti carbon jihad so will so utterly cripple our economy that it will take a generation and the deaths of millions (if not billions) to recover.